Risk of concurrent day and nighttime heatwaves in India under 1.5, 2.0, and 3.0ºC warming worlds

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dc.contributor.author Mishra, Vimal
dc.contributor.author Mukherjee, Sourav
dc.contributor.other The AGU Fall meeting
dc.coverage.spatial Washington DC, US
dc.date.accessioned 2019-03-12T05:31:46Z
dc.date.available 2019-03-12T05:31:46Z
dc.date.issued 2018-12-10
dc.identifier.citation Mishra, Vimal and Mukherjee, Sourav, "Risk of concurrent day and nighttime heatwaves in India under 1.5, 2.0, and 3.0ºC warming worlds", in the AGU Fall meeting, Washington DC, US, Dec. 10-14, 2018. en_US
dc.identifier.uri https://repository.iitgn.ac.in/handle/123456789/4257
dc.description.abstract Heatwaves with severe impacts have increased and projected to become more frequent under warming climate in India. Concurrent day and nighttime heatwaves can exacerbate human discomfort causing high morbidity and mortality; however, their changes in the observed and projected climate remain unrecognized. Here using observations and model simulations from climate of 20th century plus (C20C+) detection and attribution (D&A) and coupled model intercomparison project 5 (CMIP5) projects, we show that 1 and 3-day concurrent hot day and hot night (CHDHN) events have significantly increased during the observed climate in India. We find that the anthropogenic emissions contribute considerably to the increase of 1 and 3-day CHDHN events in India. The frequency of 3-day CHDHN events is projected to increase 12-fold of the current level by the end of 21st century and 4-fold by the mid 21st century under the high emission pathway of RCP 8.5. The increase in 3-day CHDHN events can be limited to only 2-fold by the end of 21st century under low emission scenario of RCP 2.6. We show that 1 and 3-day CHDHN events are projected to increase by 4, 6, and 8 folds of the current level in India under the 1.5, 2, and 3 ºC warming worlds, respectively. Restricting global mean temperature below 1.5° from the pre-industrial level can substantially reduce the risk of 1 and 3-day CHDHN events and associated implications in India.
dc.description.statementofresponsibility by Vimal Mishra and Sourav Mukherjee
dc.language.iso en en_US
dc.title Risk of concurrent day and nighttime heatwaves in India under 1.5, 2.0, and 3.0ºC warming worlds en_US
dc.type Article en_US


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